Divide-and-conquer: machine-learning integrates mammalian and viral traits with network features to predict virus-mammal associations.

Maya Wardeh1,2 Marcus S C Blagrove3 Kieran J Sharkey4 Matthew Baylis5,6
Affiliations 6 institutions
  1. Department of Livestock and One Health, Institute of Infection, Veterinary & Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK. [email protected].
  2. Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK. [email protected].
  3. Department of Evolution, Ecology and Behaviour, Institute of Infection, Veterinary & Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
  4. Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
  5. Department of Livestock and One Health, Institute of Infection, Veterinary & Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
  6. Health Protection Research Unit in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Active Last checked 2026-10-05 03:30:31 Source: NCBI PubMed

Abstract

Our knowledge of viral host ranges remains limited. Completing this picture by identifying unknown hosts of known viruses is an important research aim that can help identify and mitigate zoonotic and animal-disease risks, such as spill-over from animal reservoirs into human populations. To address this knowledge-gap we apply a divide-and-conquer approach which separates viral, mammalian and network features into three unique perspectives, each predicting associations independently to enhance predictive power. Our approach predicts over 20,000 unknown associations between known viruses and susceptible mammalian species, suggesting that current knowledge underestimates the number of associations in wild and semi-domesticated mammals by a factor of 4.3, and the average potential mammalian host-range of viruses by a factor of 3.2. In particular, our results highlight a significant knowledge gap in the wild reservoirs of important zoonotic and domesticated mammals' viruses: specifically, lyssaviruses, bornaviruses and rotaviruses.

Supporting text Virus Host Location
Machine Learning 7 Virus Physiological Phenomena 1 Animals 1981 Disease Reservoirs 149 Host Specificity 135 Humans 1455 Mammals 92 Reproducibility of Results 4 Virus Diseases 19 Viruses 50 Zoonoses 401

Evidence records

2 total
Zoonotic Surveillance
2 records · 1 evidence types
Evidence type
2 records
OVE4905
Key finding

Modeling analysis indicates major knowledge gaps in the identification of wild reservoir hosts for lyssaviruses among zoonotic and domestic mammal species.

Virus
Host
Location
Not specified
Supporting text

Our results highlight a significant knowledge gap in the wild reservoirs of important zoonotic and domesticated mammals' viruses: specifically, lyssaviruses, bornaviruses and rotaviruses.

Method
machine learning modeling | predictive network analysis
OVE4907
Key finding

Modeling identifies gaps in knowledge of wild reservoir hosts for rotaviruses among zoonotic and domestic mammals.

Virus
Host
Location
Not specified
Supporting text

Our results highlight a significant knowledge gap in the wild reservoirs of important zoonotic and domesticated mammals' viruses: specifically, lyssaviruses, bornaviruses and rotaviruses.

Method
machine learning modeling | predictive network analysis